{"id":1654,"date":"2026-06-18T04:41:52","date_gmt":"2026-06-18T04:41:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/?p=1654"},"modified":"2026-06-18T04:41:52","modified_gmt":"2026-06-18T04:41:52","slug":"the-art-of-the-bail-iran-got-what-it-wanted-did-the-u-s-everyone-is-judging-trumps-mia-mou","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/?p=1654","title":{"rendered":"The art of the bail: Iran got what it wanted. Did the U.S.? Everyone is judging Trump\u2019s MIA MOU"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p><span>Iran has already moved three of its own ships out of the Strait this week, carrying 5 million barrels of oil, <\/span><span>CNBC reports<\/span><span>. Most other shipping remains frozen.<\/span><\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/?p=1649\">World Cup, America 250 face new risk with spy law lapse<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span>The MOU <\/span><i><span>does<\/span><\/i><span> provide for talks over Iran\u2019s nuclear program. Vice President JD Vance <\/span><span>said<\/span><span>, \u201cthe Iranian nuclear program has been completely destroyed, and what we\u2019re saying is: \u2018make the long-term commitment to not rebuild it, and you will get the benefits that come with that.&#8217;\u201d<\/span><\/p><div><div><div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<p><span>Bloomberg\u2019s John Authers <\/span><span>was particularly scathing<\/span><span>:<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span>The longer-term consequences could be profound. Tina Fordham of Fordham Global Foresight pointed out that the game theory of the situation had changed, because the U.S. has now revealed that it\u2019s not prepared to resort to risking American lives:<\/span><span><br\/><\/span><span><br\/><\/span><span>\u201cPerhaps the gravest consequence of the terms agreed is the inevitable conclusion that the U.S. will be unwilling to back up the deal with a credible threat of force, a crucial element of diplomacy. Tehran understands that the U.S. will not want to resume hostilities ahead of November midterms.\u201d<\/span><span><br\/><\/span><span><br\/><\/span><span>Countries that enjoy some form of chokepoint in the global economic system have the green light to exploit it. China\u2019s control of rare earths and Iran\u2019s power over Hormuz have both now forced a U.S. climbdown within the space of 12 months. The cost of trade will continue to rise, probably through paying explicit tolls to use the Strait, while everyone attempts to move toward self-sufficiency (or \u201cautarky\u201d).<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><span>\u201cIt\u2019s hard to see what the American escapade has achieved, beyond killing a very old man,\u201d he wrote.<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><span>Breaking down the billions Iran could receive under Trump&#8217;s deal<\/span><span> &#8211; Axios<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h3>THE MARKETS<\/h3><h2><b>Stocks are mixed as oil declines to $78 per barrel<\/b><\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li><b>S&amp;P 500 futures<\/b><span> were up 0.14% this morning. The index lost 0.57% yesterday.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><b>SpaceX<\/b><span> rose 4.83%.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><b>In Europe,<\/b><span> the Stoxx 600 was up 0.16% in early trading and the U.K.\u2019s FTSE 100 was down 0.14% before lunch.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><b>Asia: <\/b><span>South Korea\u2019s KOSPI was up 1.48%. Japan\u2019s Nikkei 225 was up 0.72%. India\u2019s Nifty 50 was up 0.2%. China\u2019s CSI 300 was up 0.97%.\u00a0<\/span><\/li>\n<li><b>Brent crude<\/b><span> was $78 per barrel this morning, down from $81 yesterday.<\/span><\/li>\n<li><b>Bitcoin<\/b><span> was $64.9K.<\/span><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2><b>The capex curse that&#8217;s haunted big spenders since the dot-com bust<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span><div>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1651\" height=\"812\" src=\"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/dbd347ac28df99a8092d51ed9dff4784-1024x812.webp\" width=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/dbd347ac28df99a8092d51ed9dff4784-1024x812.webp 1024w, https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/dbd347ac28df99a8092d51ed9dff4784-300x238.webp 300w, https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/dbd347ac28df99a8092d51ed9dff4784-768x609.webp 768w, https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/dbd347ac28df99a8092d51ed9dff4784.webp 1439w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>In a chart that potentially has consequences for the AI hyperscalers, historical data show that the stocks of companies in the top 10% of capex spenders have underperformed the S&amp;P 500 ever since the collapse of the dot-com bubble in 2000, according to Ohsung Kwon and his team at Wells Fargo. \u201cWe continue to prefer capex takers over spenders,\u201d they advised clients.<\/span><\/p><div><div><\/div><\/div>\n<h3>WARSH-ONOMICS<\/h3><h2><b>Regime change at the Fed\u2019s \u201cbanana republic\u201d<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span>Kevin Warsh will give his first speech as the new U.S. Federal Reserve chairman today as he delivers an interest rate decision that will almost certainly keep rates on hold at the 3.5% level. What should Wall Street expect? <\/span><i><span>Fortune<\/span><\/i><span>\u2019s Eleanor Pringle says<\/span><span> we will probably get more jokes and less forward guidance from the man who once called America a \u201cbanana republic\u201d because its central bank reliably bought so much of its own government debt. Crucially, the Fed is also likely to remove the dovish language promising \u201cadditional\u201d economic support if the data warrants it.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>MORE FROM FORTUNE<\/h3><p><span>Trump\u2019s OBBBA will cap federal loans on July 1. Republicans are going over Trump\u2019s head to save student loans for nurses<\/span><span> &#8211; Jacqueline Munis<\/span><\/p><div><div><div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<p><span>\u2018Social Security is on a collision course toward insolvency,\u2019 watchdog says. It hasn\u2019t been this bad since 1983<\/span><span> &#8211; Nick Lichtenberg<\/span><\/p><div><div><\/div><\/div>\n<p>TIAA CEO Thasunda Brown Duckett is undertaking a retirement revolution\u2014with $1.5 trillion to back it up &#8211; Alyson Shontell<\/p><div><div><\/div><\/div><div><div><\/div><\/div>\n<p><span>The new problem for millennial parents in the Northeast: the million-dollar starter home<\/span><span> &#8211; Sydney Lake<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>He fled Iran for the American dream, became a millionaire, and could have retired\u2014instead, he built the health tech that saved his father from cancer<\/span><span> &#8211; Orianna Rosa Royle<\/span><\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/?p=1647\">Needles used to detect breast cancer in shortage from recall<\/a><\/p>\n<p><span>Anthropic\u2019s IPO pitch has a new problem: The government can shut it down<\/span><span> &#8211; Eva Roytburg<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Decision on Anthropic\u2019s Fable and Mythos models means the U.S. has a licensing regime for frontier AI\u2014it just doesn\u2019t want to admit it<\/span><span> &#8211; Jeremy Kahn<\/span><\/p><div><div><div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div><div><\/div><\/div>\n<h3>CHART OF THE DAY<\/h3><h2><b>Goodbye peace dividend, hello defense debt\u00a0<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span><div>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1652\" height=\"734\" src=\"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/80176a92ae04ceae7da2f1d45717169c-1024x734.webp\" width=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/80176a92ae04ceae7da2f1d45717169c-1024x734.webp 1024w, https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/80176a92ae04ceae7da2f1d45717169c-300x215.webp 300w, https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/80176a92ae04ceae7da2f1d45717169c-768x551.webp 768w, https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/80176a92ae04ceae7da2f1d45717169c.webp 1439w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div><\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>As defense spending declines, so do U.S. federal government deficits, according to Peter Oppenheimer and his colleagues at Goldman Sachs. \u201cIn 1991, President Bush announced plans to scrap U.S. tactical nuclear weapons in Europe and Asia \u2026 U.S. spending on defense fell sharply between 1985 and 1993 and remained flat between 1993 and 1999. The declines in government spending relative to GDP meant that by 1997, under President Bill Clinton, the U.S. recorded a budget surplus for the first time since 1969,\u201d they note.<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>NUMBER OF THE DAY<\/h3><h2>10%<\/h2>\n<p><span>The decline in enrollment for computer science and computer programming majors at universities from 2025 to 2026. Goldman Sachs\u2019 Pierfrancesco Mei believes this is evidence that undergraduates are changing their behavior to avoid career paths most easily destroyed by AI. \u201cBy contrast, enrollment rose by about 3% on average in majors linked to occupations with low AI displacement risk and strong recent job growth, most notably in healthcare and engineering,\u201d he said in a note seen by <\/span><i><span>Fortune<\/span><\/i><span>.<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span><div>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1653\" height=\"656\" src=\"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/e59f23d33ec3733a1a7e733794a4c638-1024x656.webp\" width=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/e59f23d33ec3733a1a7e733794a4c638-1024x656.webp 1024w, https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/e59f23d33ec3733a1a7e733794a4c638-300x192.webp 300w, https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/e59f23d33ec3733a1a7e733794a4c638-768x492.webp 768w, https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/06\/e59f23d33ec3733a1a7e733794a4c638.webp 1439w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/figure>\n<\/div><\/span><\/p><div><div><\/div><\/div>\n<h3>THE FRONT PAGES TODAY<\/h3><p><span>Michael Goodwin: Leaked and classified Situation Room talks demands a criminal probe from \u2018furious\u2019 Trump<\/span><span> &#8211; NY Post<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>Lululemon apologises after Japanese drum controversy at Great Wall yoga event<\/span><span> &#8211; FT<\/span><\/p><div><div><div><\/div><\/div><\/div>\n<p><span>\u2018A signal of where power sits\u2019: Trump and world leaders joined by OpenAI, Anthropic, Google at G7<\/span><span> &#8211; CNBC<\/span><\/p>\n<p><span>The Hacker Sent by Anthropic to Calm the Government\u2019s Nerves About AI Safety<\/span><span> &#8211; WSJ<\/span><\/p><div><div><\/div><\/div>\n<p><span>Ferrari Nudges Clients to Buy Divisive EV to Move Up Wait Lists<\/span><span> &#8211; Bloomberg<\/span><\/p>\n<h3>ONE MORE THING<\/h3><h2><b>Gen Z is addicted to \u201cslop bowls\u201d\u00a0<\/b><\/h2>\n<p><span>If you\u2019re not a Gen Zer, you may be surprised to learn that customizable bowls that allow you to mix your veggies and protein any way you want\u2014\u00e0 la Chipotle, Sweetgreen, Cava, and Panera\u2014are called \u201cslop bowls\u201d by the young. Turns out, this is a term of endearment, not an insult. Gen Zers love their slop bowls. According to a survey of 1,000 adults from SmartSense by Digi <\/span><span>reported in <\/span><i><span>Fortune<\/span><\/i><span>, only 15% of Gen Z say they are bored or disappointed by slop bowls. And they are the group that is most likely to eat out at fast-casual restaurants three times a week or more.<\/span><\/p><p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/?p=1645\">Kevin Warsh showed that he\u2019s decisively not Trump\u2019s \u2018sock puppet\u2019\u2014and markets didn\u2019t like it<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Everything you need to know before you reach the office this morning.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1650,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[8],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1654","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-markets"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>The art of the bail: Iran got what it wanted. Did the U.S.? Everyone is judging Trump\u2019s MIA MOU - Cross Country Moving Team<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/?p=1654\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The art of the bail: Iran got what it wanted. Did the U.S.? 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