{"id":5661,"date":"2026-08-20T19:12:28","date_gmt":"2026-08-20T19:12:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/?p=5661"},"modified":"2026-08-20T19:12:28","modified_gmt":"2026-08-20T19:12:28","slug":"bessent-becomes-most-interventionist-treasury-chief-in-decades","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/?p=5661","title":{"rendered":"Bessent becomes most interventionist Treasury chief in decades"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<p>Wednesday brought the latest surprise. Just two weeks after releasing its schedule for buying back older Treasury securities, the Treasury Department announced it would \u201cat least double\u201d its planned purchases of outstanding 10-year to 30-year debt.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/?p=5659\">Another Democratic primary, another shocking DSA upset as Angie Nixon adds to moderates\u2019 heartburn over seemingly unstoppable wave<\/a><\/p>\n<p>That came after the Treasury earlier this month\u00a0opened the door\u00a0to potential cuts in issuance of longer-dated debt. On July 31, Bessent oversaw the first purchases of yen by US authorities in three decades, an action seen as reducing the need for Japan to sell down its Treasuries stockpile to fund its own yen buying. And early this year, Bessent deployed so-called rate checks \u2014 calls by authorities to banks for quotes on the yen \u2014\u00a0surprising\u00a0even a former Japanese official.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u201cHe\u2019s activist, absolutely,\u201d said Mark Sobel, a former US Treasury official now at the research group OMFIF. \u201cIt harkens back to his hedge-fund background.\u201d\u00a0<\/p>\n<p>As for the motive: \u201cIt seems clear to me that he and the administration are concerned about the rise in long-term yields,\u201d Sobel said.<\/p>\n<p>The Treasury didn\u2019t immediately respond to a request for comment on Bessent\u2019s market measures.<\/p>\n<p>As stewards of the nation\u2019s economic policy and its financial markets, Treasury secretaries have often been forced to intervene in moments of crisis.\u00a0<\/p>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>That\u2019s not the case now, given that the bond selloff has been orderly and building for months. But his action after 10-year Treasury yields, his self-specified\u00a0financial benchmark, rose above where they were before Trump returned to office, shows mounting worries in Washington.<\/p>\n<p>The rise in yields, on a combination of concerns about inflation, Federal Reserve\u00a0policymaking\u00a0and outsize fiscal deficits, has kept\u00a0mortgage rates\u00a0elevated and poses a headwind to economic growth months before the November congressional election.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>When it comes to debt issuance, the Treasury has long hewed to the principle of being \u201cregular and predictable,\u201d and not surprising investors. It\u2019s a concept Bessent himself endorsed in a\u00a0keynote speech\u00a0at a Treasury market conference in November.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>What he also said in that speech, however, was that \u201cmy job is to be the nation\u2019s top bond salesman. And Treasury yields are a strong barometer for measuring success in this endeavor.\u201d And he highlighted the economic importance of lower Treasury rates.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u201cIt is going against \u2018regular and predictable\u2019 \u2014 but that\u2019s the world we live in,\u201d Gregory Faranello, head of US rates trading and strategy at AmeriVet Securities, said of Wednesday\u2019s announcement. \u201cThe messaging is clear: stop the rise in yields.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Bessent\u2019s predecessor, Janet Yellen, also\u00a0moved to stanch\u00a0a rise in yields in 2023. Bessent was among a number of Republicans who\u00a0criticized\u00a0that step \u2014 done via the regular quarterly debt-issuance statement \u2014 as politically motivated, being aimed at juicing the pre-election economy. Stephen Miran, President Donald Trump\u2019s former chief economist and an ex Fed-board member, had co-written a paper in July 2024 inveighing against \u201cactivist Treasury issuance,\u201d or ATI.<\/p>\n<h3>\u2018Election Season\u2019<\/h3>\n<p>\u201cOnce one political party begins using ATI to stimulate the economy into election season, it may be used repeatedly by all future administrations,\u201d Miran and co-author Nouriel Roubini\u00a0.<\/p>\n<p>The Treasury\u2019s move comes just weeks after Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh had enthused over financial markets being freed of forward guidance. \u201cMarket participants are learning to\u00a0play the ball, not the referee, and market prices will continue to respond in the direction and magnitude they see fit.\u201d<\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Bessent has shared Warsh\u2019s sentiment in the past, writing in an\u00a0\u00a0last year that Fed bond purchases had created \u201cdistortions\u201d in markets and \u201cdisrupted an essential source of feedback.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>As it turns out, \u201cthis is not an administration that sets stable rules and then lets the market chips fall where they may,\u201d said Brad Setser, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations.<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/?p=5657\">The AI industry is getting better at spotting dangerous behavior. It is less clear that labs know how to stop it.<\/a><\/p>\n<p>In the case of the recent yen initiative, Bessent recommended the Fed\u00a0expand one of its facilities, a call seen as designed to stem Japanese outright sales of Treasuries.\u00a0<\/p>\n<h3>Old-Days Maneuver<\/h3>\n<p>Bessent, 63, was famed for his role in successful, high-stakes bets on the British pound and Japanese yen during his work for George Soros. And some market participants viewed Wednesday\u2019s action as drawing on that career.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>\u201cIt is like the \u2018lift everything on the screen\u2019 trick from the old days,\u201d said Brad Golding, a portfolio manager at Christofferson Robb &amp; Co. That\u2019s a reference to a hedge fund technique of hitting big dealers with orders all at the same time to trigger a large move in the market.<\/p>\n<p>Being the main cabinet member responsible for stewardship of the world\u2019s biggest economy, Treasury secretaries have had a long tradition of major interventions in times of crisis. The department played a key role during Covid, ran the main bailout program of the global financial crisis, and took point on multiple emerging market rescues in the 1990s.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Bessent\u2019s maneuvers are distinct, some observers say, by not being prompted by crisis or particularly disorderly market conditions.<\/p>\n<h3>Historical Comparison<\/h3>\n<p>\u201cBessent is letting everyone know that his approach is more actively interventionist, even absent the kind of catalyst that might have been required in recent decades,\u201d said Douglas Rediker, a managing partner of the political advisory firm International Capital Strategies in Washington.<\/p>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Sobel, who served at the Treasury from the late 1970s to 2015, said Bessent has at least been the most activist since the early 2000s. Historical comparisons, such as to James Baker \u2014 who helped engineer the Plaza and Louvre Accords of the 1980s that had a strong influence on exchange rates at the time \u2014 are fraught by historical contexts being different, he said.<\/p>\n<p>Many market participants and economists highlighted that the fundamentals behind today\u2019s higher yields challenge the Treasury\u2019s operational toolkit. With two months to go in the fiscal year, the deficit so far for 2026 is\u00a0$1.8 trillion, 5% wider than last year. Spending is being propelled by Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid and interest on the debt. Defense spending is also set to rise, and Republicans are exploring more tax cuts.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cWhile the Treasury\u2019s announcement offers near-term relief to bond markets, the structural drivers\u201d pushing rates higher remain in place, ABN Amro Bank rates strategists wrote in a note Thursday. \u201cIt is difficult to see the Treasury maintaining increasingly large buybacks on a sustained basis, particularly given the ongoing (and rising) financing needs,\u201d Larissa Fritz and her colleague Jaap Teerhuis wrote.<\/p>\n<h3>Market Signals<\/h3>\n<p>Bessent has indicated, however, that he\u2019s a believer in the power of the government to influence markets. Speaking last month about the Trump administration\u2019s stakes in a number of technology and resource companies, he said, \u201cWhat we\u2019re trying to do is create\u00a0market signals.\u201d Speaking on Fox Business, he said, \u201cIn essence, trying to tell investors, OK, here\u2019s where the puck\u2019s going to be. Skate to it quickly.\u201d<\/p>\n<div>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<p>Investors skated, some, on Wednesday. Ten-year yields closed down around 6 basis points, while 30-year rates were 9 basis points lower. Treasuries were retracing some of the moves Thursday.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cThis only works for so long,\u201d said Guy Miller, chief strategist at Zurich Insurance. \u201cIt can be quite a potent intervention when you\u2019ve got the Treasury saying that they\u2019re very much committed to doing this. But ultimately, unless you tackle profligate policy, that\u2019s not sustainable indefinitely.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>As for Bessent\u2019s yen operation, Japan\u2019s currency has this month surrendered a portion of the intervention-spurred advance. Wednesday\u2019s drop in Treasuries yields also gave the yen a push higher, however. The drop in rates even pulled the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index down to the lowest level in three months.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cHe\u2019s picking a fight with two massive markets \u2014 Treasuries and FX,\u201d said Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Onepoint Bfg. \u201cAnd that\u2019s a really tough battle.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Read more <a href=\"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/?p=5654\">Bill Ackman\u2019s $400 million brain institute was inspired by his daughter\u2014and built outside elite universities, which he says are losing talent<\/a><\/p>\n<div>\n<div><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Expanded bond buybacks and yen purchases mark an unusually activist approach, but widening deficits could limit its effectiveness<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5660,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[42],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5661","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-donald-trump"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.7 - 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