{"id":6396,"date":"2026-09-01T13:11:27","date_gmt":"2026-09-01T13:11:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/?p=6396"},"modified":"2026-09-01T13:11:27","modified_gmt":"2026-09-01T13:11:27","slug":"trumps-biggest-oil-deal-in-world-history-in-venezuela-reeks-of-colonial-cronyism-and-could-easily-fall-apart-experts-say","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/crosscountrymovingteams.com\/?p=6396","title":{"rendered":"Trump\u2019s \u2018biggest oil deal in world history\u2019 in Venezuela reeks of \u2018colonial cronyism\u2019 and could easily fall apart, experts say"},"content":{"rendered":"
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While a revitalization of Venezuela\u2019s dilapidated oil industry may be heading in the right direction, the process will require huge infusions of new investment. It will occur on a timeline that extends far beyond the administrations of Trump and interim Venezuela President Delcy Rodriguez\u2014meaning any success will take years to come to fruition.<\/p>\n

Read more Do CEOs actually matter? Pulitzer winner Jared Diamond ran \u2018natural experiments\u2019 to find out<\/a><\/p>\n

\u201cIf the U.S. scheme in Venezuela sounds colonial, that\u2019s because it is,\u201d said Gregory Brew, senior energy analyst with the Eurasia Group. \u201cThis is the Trump administration trying to increase U.S. revenue from Venezuelan oil production. It\u2019s extremely unusual. It\u2019s probably unprecedented in the history of the international oil industry.\u201d<\/p>\n

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The closest comparison, he said, is over 50 years ago when the U.K. owned a majority of BP (previously the Anglo-Persian Oil Company) and developed oil resources in Iran and Iraq.<\/p>\n

Trump announced the deal over the weekend, calling it the \u201cbiggest oil deal in world history.\u201d The U.S. would control more than 65 billion barrels of proven oil reserves\u00a0in 17 oilfields in Venezuela.<\/p>\n

Although most of the details remain unknown publicly, the agreement would operate through the second-largest, private Venezuelan oil producer, North American Blue Energy Partners (NABEP). The U.S. Department of Defense would own a 35% stake NABEP and control a majority of the oil production. Chevron, which never left Venezuela after the expropriation of oil assets that caused other U.S. companies to flee almost 20 years ago, is the top private producer.<\/p>\n

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\u201cThe deal\u00a0more than doubles American oil reserves, dramatically increases domestic supply, and is projected to\u00a0substantially lower gas prices for all Americans long into the future,\u201d the White House said in a statement.<\/p>\n

The White House and NABEP did not respond to requests for interviews and additional comment.<\/p>\n

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Vague on details<\/h2>\n

NABEP is controlled by the Venezuelan businessman Alejandro Betancourt L\u00f3pez and his family. L\u00f3pez\u2019s bank accounts have been under investigation in Switzerland for years, but he has not been formally charged with any crimes. L\u00f3pez also has fostered close relationships with both the Trump and Rodriguez administrations.<\/p>\n

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\u201cOn one hand, this individual seems to be in a good position to facilitate this kind of deal,\u201d Brew told Fortune<\/em>. \u201cBut, from a certain angle, this looks like an insider deal to profit businessmen who are close to Delcy and who are also close to Trump and his inner circle.\u201d<\/p>\n

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In a statement, Rodriguez said the deal would involve an investment of more than $100 billion\u2014although it\u2019s unclear where the funds would come from\u2014and generate more than $209 billion in tax revenues for Venezuela.<\/p>\n

Regardless, the deal promises to be a \u201cpolitical lightning rod\u201d in Washington and Caracas since it pertains to Venezuela giving up a large stake of its natural resources to a country that forcibly removed its former leader, Nicol\u00e1s Maduro, at the beginning of the year, said Matt Reed, vice president of geopolitical and energy consultancy Foreign Reports.<\/p>\n

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\u201cIt may be years before it meaningfully boosts Venezuelan production and it will likely have to survive a change of administration in both countries,\u201d Reed said.<\/p>\n

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\u201cI\u2019m more curious to see whether Venezuela can attract top-tier U.S. companies, besides Chevron, which benefits from a longstanding relationship there,\u201d Reed added. \u201cU.S. firms have the capital and technology Venezuela needs to reach its potential, but they also have reservations given the history and current circumstances. Those companies don\u2019t need sweetheart deals or financial aid from the Pentagon; they just need certainty.\u201d<\/p>\n

Some small U.S. producers, such as Hunt Oil, are investing in Venezuela, but the other biggest players, such as ExxonMobil and ConocoPhillips, have remained reluctant, although they\u2019re investigating the possibilities.<\/p>\n

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Strategic reserves<\/h2>\n

Venezuelan oil production has risen this year from just under 1 million barrels per day to more than 1.2 million barrels daily, an increase of almost 250,000 barrels each day. Largely led by Chevron, that increase has come primarily by optimizing existing oil wells, and not by bringing in new drilling rigs and teams.<\/p>\n

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Venezuela\u2019s oil industry last churned out more than 3 million barrels daily at the beginning of this century and was still above 2 million barrels a day a decade ago.<\/p>\n

Trump quickly pledged to use Venezuelan oil to replenish the U.S. Strategic Petroleum Reserve, which was just depleted to 44-year lows amid the ongoing war in Iran.<\/p>\n

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\u201cOne of the things I am going to do with the Venezuelan oil is fill up the [SPR] which, because of Sleepy Joe Biden, has been virtually emptied,\u201d Trump said on social media.<\/p>\n

But using Venezuelan oil to fill the SPR is a virtual impossibility, experts said. That\u2019s because the extra heavy grades of Venezuelan crude oil are incompatible with the underground salt caverns storage facilities in Texas and Louisiana that comprise the SPR.<\/p>\n

\u201cWe don\u2019t put heavy sour crude into the SPR. So the idea of refilling the SPR from Venezuela doesn\u2019t work,\u201d said Jim Wicklund, a veteran oil analyst and managing director at the PPHB energy investment firm. However, that heavy Venezuelan crude is desired by Gulf Coast refineries in the U.S.<\/p>\n

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The SPR is now drained down to 286 million barrels, which is its lowest point since 1982 when it was still being filled up during its infancy. The SPR was at 415 million barrels when the Iran war began, having been depleted of nearly 130 million barrels in five months.<\/p>\n

Falling below 300 million barrels already makes the salt caverns less structurally sound, but falling below 252.4 million barrels would trigger a federal law that only allows additional drawdowns under severe national security declarations.<\/p>\n

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To Trump\u2019s point about President Biden though, the SPR was at 638 million barrels when Biden took office in 2021 and was depleted heavily in the aftermath of Russia\u2019s invasion of Ukraine when oil prices spiked.<\/p>\n

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As for the broader deal in Venezuela, Wicklund said he doesn\u2019t see how it accomplishes anything more than potentially giving U.S. companies \u201ca more secure feeling\u201d their assets wouldn\u2019t be expropriated again if the U.S. government is directly invested.<\/p>\n

\u201cHow the Department of Defense is going to take an equity stake in a foreign oil company is beyond me,\u201d Wicklund said. \u201cI don\u2019t see the point or the benefit or how it practically happens.\u201d<\/p>\n

Radhika Bansal, vice president of upstream research for Rystad Energy, said the deal could trigger more \u201ccivil unrest\u201d in Venezuela because control of the country\u2019s natural resources is a \u201cvery, very sensitive topic\u201d for politicians and the public alike. That said, the fact that the governments have already identified 17 potential projects shows that the oil industry is \u201cmoving in the right direction\u201d and could be cause for \u201ccautious optimism.\u201d<\/p>\n

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But that doesn\u2019t mean this deal will help fill the SPR or lower prices at the pump.<\/p>\n

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\u201cEven if everything goes as planned, it\u2019s going to be a gradual recovery,\u201d Bansal said.<\/p>\n

Read more Meet the CEO whose century-old company never laid off employees through the Great Depression, the recession, or Covid<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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